SP500 H4

General Overview for 17/12/2013:

The simple corrective cycle of (a)(b)(c) Irregular Flat wave 4 has been terminated into 161%Fibo Ext @ 1754 points and impulsive wave progression to the upside has been initiated. Wave (i) of this progression has been done and now price is in corrective cycle. More upside is in view as long as 1754 is not broken. First target is 1824 WR2 level.

Support/Resistance:

1824 - WR2

1812 - Swing High

1791 - WR1

1786 - Intraday Resistance

1778 - Weekly Pivot

1754 - Intraday Low | Invalidation Line |

1745 - WS1

1722 - WS2

1726 - 1735 - SUPPLY BREAKTHROUGH ZONE

Trading Recommendations:

As long as 1754 holds long positions should be in play with 1824 as a first target.

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SP500 Futures H4 & Daily

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Seb

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Nikkei 225 Futures Daily

General Overviev for 08/12/2013
The anticipated Triangle formation breakout has been developing properly and now the fianl attack to new highs should be in play. The target area for main count is 16110 - 16337. If this highs are broken then the alternate count is in play and this one us slightly more bullish than the main one. It projects the Target Zone for wave 5 @ 16782 - 17154 (quite wilde).
Price has bounced from main channel upper line and as long as it stays within acceleration channel more high are in view.

Support/Resistance:
16782 - 17154 - Alternate Target Zone Projection
16110 - 16337 - Main Target Zone Projection
15936 - Swing High
14957 - Technical Support

Trading Recommendations:
As long as technical support zone holds buying the dips shoud be in play. Target zone on chart.

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Nifty 50 Futures H4

General Overview for 25/11/2013:
The correction has not been finished just yet and there is more downside possible up to 5880 level. From that level the price should bounce back up and trend should resume.

Support/Resistance:
6386 - WR2
6216 - WR1
6086 - Weekly Pivot
5957 - WS1
5880 - Target for wave (ii)
5845 - WS2

Trading Recommendations:
Buy the 5880 level with tight SL.

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Video Analysis: Gold and SP500

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Sebastian Seliga

SP500 Futures H4 & Daily

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http://day-trader.pl/analizy/indeksy/1466-sp500-futures-h4-d1

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Seb

Nifty H4 & Daily

General Overview for 07/11/2013 

Bullish wave progression is so far intact and more upside is anticipated after wave (ii) green corrective cycle is done.
Targets are on the chart.
Please notice that a breakout to the downside below Key Level of 6067 is much more bearish and it might result with GAP zone test before trend will eventually resume.

Support/Resistance:

6487 - WR1
6367 - Wave (i) High
6282 - Weekly Pivot
6232 - Technical Support
6195 - WS1
6067 - 23%Fibo | Key Level |
5993 - WS2
5909 - WS3

Trading Recomendations:

Sell the top test @ 6367 with TIGH STOP LOSS for a potential TP @ 6067.

Take care,
Seb

Crude Oil H4 & Daily

Please click on the link here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/11/06/crude-oil-h4-amp-d1/

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Seb

Nifty H1

General Overview  for 18/20/2013:

The corrective wave 2 purple must has been finished sonner that I have expected and Nifty index had made a new high now.
Nevertheless, the overall momentum for wave (i) is diminishing now and soe sort of correction is needed. The Key Level for the corrective cycle bottom is 5900. If this level is broken, then price might test the GAP level and oveall correction will become more complex.

Support/Resistance:
6275 - WR1
6065 - Weekly Pivot
5986 - WS1
5900 - Key Lecvel
5775 - WS1
5696 - WS3

Seb

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WIG20 Futures H4

Poprzedni wpis o indeksie znajduje sie tutaj:
http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2013/09/wig20-h4-futures.html

Wskazywałem w nim na możliwość odbicia od poziomu 78%Fibo po zakończonej korekcie fali (ii) zielonej, na co dodatkowo wskazywał tza: Stopping Volume.

Na chwilę obecną licznik przedstawia się nastepująco: strefa SUPPLY na poziomie 2486 - 2504 stanowi relatwynie mocną barierę cenową i w zasadzie dopiero jej wybicie będzie potwierdzeniem dalszych wzrostów. Uwaga na fałszywe wybicie (fakey bars and setups).


Powodzenia,
Seb

Nifty H1

NSE Nifty H1 Update om 10/10/2013:

Choppy and overlaping price action indicates that wave (b) is still in progress and now level of 78%Fibo is the one to be focused on:

-if broken, then there is a high chance golden trend line might be tested.

0 if rejected, then a possible sell of might happen to the levels indicated on chart.

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Nikkei 225 Futures Daily 09/10/2013

The upside triangle breakout is almost here as the price is currently trading between 61.8 and 68.5 percent of whole triangle length. This is statistically the most often upside breakout point.
As long as green trend line holds bias is upside.

Take care,
Seb

SP500 H4 Analysys

Please click on the link here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/10/07/sp500-h4-07-10-2013/

Thnak You,
Seb

NSE Nifty Daily & H4 Elliott Wave Analysys

General Overview for 06/10/2013

I am looking at a larger term picture of Nifty. While at this stage it appears that several alternatives are present, I am giving the highest weight to the count I have attached here.

Lok at the Daily chart below and You will see that this index in a large bull market that one can label as an impulsive wave. End of the rally on 2008 is the top for wave 3 ( with fifth wave extension of a wave (5)) and then price has made a sharp decline slighty below the low of  wave (4) which is typical after wave (5) extension. After sharp decline price has made another five waves to the upside and almost took out the high of wave 3. Overall the five wave structure of a higher degree has been finished (labeled as wave i and now price is in corrective decline. The first wave down of the decline has been made ( wave A) and now price is about to finish wave B of the upward smaller corrective cycle. Because it can be clearly seen that this AB structure is an overlaping and time consuming THREE waves correction, my speculation is, that apossible shape of wave ii will be in ABC Irregular Flat shape. So now I'm waiting for wave B to the upside to finish and then five wave sell-off in wave C of wave ii.

On the lower time frames  there is a possibble low in wave (B) of ann extended (A)(B)(C) Irregular Flat pattern. The top of this pattern will be the top of wave B and then sell-off should happen

On even lower time frame (H4), one can see that first five impulsive waves to the upside has been done and now market is in corrective cycle wave 2. The most probabble pattern for this simple correction is ZigZag and if 61%Fibo is the top for wave (b), then equall legs target for wave (a)=(c) is indicated on chart. Nevertheless, there is another possible wave progression that include depper retracement in wave (b) up to 78.6Fibo level and thn small sell-off in wave (c). This would mean the GAP zone of orange rectangel will not be broken and reversal should be expected sooner.

Support/Resistance:

6233- Swing High

6174 - Wave 1 high

6085 - purple 78%Fibo

6020 - purple 61%Fibo

5763 - Technical Support | GAP HIGH LEVEL |

5700 - GAP LOW LEVEL

5662 - One2One Equall Legs target #1 for wave (c)

5637 - 50%Fibo | Target#2 for wave (c)

5511 - 61%Fibo

Trading Recommendations:
Bullish outlook for this market is evident in wave progression so long positions should be in play once the correction is over.
The target for the wave B is 
- 6682 - 6748 if B is 23.6%Extension of Irregular Flat
-7004 - 7118  if B is 38.6% Extension of Irregular Flat.

S&P500 H4

Latest Update is here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/10/03/s-amp-p500-h4-03-10-2013/

THX,
Seb

Dow Jones H4

Latest update can be found here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/10/03/dow-jones-h4-03-20-2013/

THX,
Seb

Dow Jones Futures H4 Update

Please click the link here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/09/25/dow-jones-industrial-futures-h4-25-09-2013/
Than You,
Seb

SP500 Futures H4 Update

Please click the link here:
http://day-trader.pl/analizy/indeksy/1181-sp500-futures-h4-25-09-2013
Thank You,
Seb

S&P500 Futures H4 Update

Analiza SP500 Futures:
http://day-trader.pl/analizy/indeksy/1144-s-p500-futures-h4-17-09-2013

Pozdrawiam,
Sebastian

S&P500 Futures H4 Update

Analiza SP500 Futures interwal H4:
http://day-trader.pl/analizy/1128-sp500-futures-h4-13-09-13