Tampilkan postingan dengan label trade analysis. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label trade analysis. Tampilkan semua postingan
Kamis, 11 Oktober 2012
Spooky crude oil again
I am not God, I am not a crook : I will never pretend I can catch any given move from the beginning to its end. Never believe a guy who says such a non-sense. I am more than happy if I can grab one third of the move, usually the median section. And, more often, some ticks, here and there..
Jumat, 27 April 2012
The importance of the trailing stop
On the last trade, I moved the SL at +2 (from -10), as soon as I felt a little double top could happen there. I could lose the probable move up this way or I could save my skin..
Rabu, 21 Maret 2012
A typical day
This is a typical example of what I am doing recently : wait for one of the numerous significant moves of CL during EVERY day and go with the flow.
Jumat, 02 Maret 2012
Kamis, 01 Maret 2012
Before the storm
I got a few pips and then I left monitors to take care of my daughters. When I came back, price was 70 pips down...
Sabtu, 25 Februari 2012
Micro-surgery
What are 9 ticks for the huge volatility of crude oil? Almost nothing. That's why it is relatively easy to catch them. No need to know what did the Iranians in Ormuz. No need to anticipate and get the entire price movement (there are MANY, anyway, everyday). All I need is to cash in some ticks here and there, based solely on momentum. Today I had these 9 and 10 more a little bit earlier. It is relatively easy if you are not greedy. Like doing micro-surgery on an elephant.
Jumat, 24 Februari 2012
Rusty
Back to trading after a loong time. I partially lost my reflexes and had to cope with fear. The fear was in the first and third trades when i closed them early. Fourth trade came close to my stop by 1 pip and then resumed up, I was lucky.
Sabtu, 07 Januari 2012
Post-NFP
Almost a lucky trade in post-NFP session. Price had compassion for my large stoploss and resumed down to give some gains.
Jumat, 06 Januari 2012
Crude oil
Too late (entry) for the second trade, on already extended price move. Better wait for the necessary little correction.
Jumat, 09 Desember 2011
Last minute disaster
I had some gains while e-mini got a steady pace just before the closing, when a news wire from European summit (Britain out of treaty) destroyed everything. It was late and I was tired and I had a lousy stop : -14 ticks.
Kamis, 08 Desember 2011
Rabu, 07 Desember 2011
Selasa, 06 Desember 2011
Jumat, 02 Desember 2011
Thrills
Back to trading, after a long time. During my "vacation", I studied the behavior of several instruments on futures. Among them I liked crude oil the most. Lots of movements, very fast and brutal, and very fast reaction needed from the trader. My way to fight boredom.. Here are my first live trades on crude oil, with just 2 contracts. A roller coaster indeed, extreme emotions guaranteed every second! What I should precisely avoid !,, lol.
Kamis, 10 November 2011
Bad timing on an easy market
The trend was strong and gave easy pips on the bwginning. Then, on the last two trades, a considerable risk was taken as I refused to close on the correctice moves, precisely because (I felt that) the trade was strong. This is the perfect way to get a -30 on the face, on a very fast retracement...
Sabtu, 05 November 2011
Post-NFP
The first trade could be closed earlier. An earlier exit could also give an earlier entry short. So the first short entry came late and, as a consequence, had some risk.
Rabu, 12 Oktober 2011
A better entry
As I wrote in the previous post, entering at the resistance and going for the breakout is dangerous for my approach. Today I entered at the local temporary roof, as price was doing little HHs and HLs and could move up. Price moved back, just 1 pip above my stop... (and the doctor told me : no stress!..). Then price reversed and I had some gains. A better entry is pointed by the arrow, on the MA.
Senin, 10 Oktober 2011
Preparing for the break
I have stopped trading in the last days because of a health problem. I had only these trades a couple of days ago. As price was going to break the resistance (previous high), an intense movement forward and backward took place and my stop was hit. It was too risky to widen the stop, waiting for the almost sure (?) breakout. I have done this in the past and payed a lot.. A tight stop method like mine is vulnerable when applied on breakouts. That's why I apply it mostly when price is in a mid-range.
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