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Sabtu, 19 Oktober 2013

Gold XAUUSD H4 & Daily Analysys


Please click on the link here:

http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/10/18/gold-h4-amp-daily/

THX,
Seb

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Jumat, 18 Oktober 2013

Nifty H1

General Overview  for 18/20/2013:

The corrective wave 2 purple must has been finished sonner that I have expected and Nifty index had made a new high now.
Nevertheless, the overall momentum for wave (i) is diminishing now and soe sort of correction is needed. The Key Level for the corrective cycle bottom is 5900. If this level is broken, then price might test the GAP level and oveall correction will become more complex.

Support/Resistance:
6275 - WR1
6065 - Weekly Pivot
5986 - WS1
5900 - Key Lecvel
5775 - WS1
5696 - WS3

Seb

IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSYS PLEASE VOTE FOR ME ON “ANALYST OF THE YEAR” CONTEST

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3. Click on RAISE UP

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GBP/USD H1


Please click th link here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/10/18/gbp-usd-h1-3/

Thanks,
Seb

Kamis, 17 Oktober 2013

EUR/USD H1,H4,Daily & Weekly Video Analysys


Hi guys,

Due to main count invalidation this is video analysys of EUR/USD and US Dollar Index
The video is here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RV7rDvkesUY

Enjoy!
Sebastian Seliga
IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSYS PLEASE VOTE FOR ME ON “ANALYST OF THE YEAR” CONTEST

It is free, simple and easy to vote for me!

This is what You have to do:
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2.Click on the link:
http://www.mt5.com/forex_analysis_award/profile/index/elliottfxtrade
3. Click on RAISE UP

THIS IS IT!
BIG THANK YOU TO ALL!
— feeling determined.

Rabu, 16 Oktober 2013

EUR/USD H1


EURUSD H1 16/10/2013:
This is the third and last one sequence of (i)-(ii), (1)-(2), i-ii that I can accept without invalidating bearish impulsive scenatio.
Any breakout above INVALIDATION LINE is bullish and last swing high is prone to test.

If You Don’t Like Whipsaws, Don’t Trade Gold

It seems every time there is a jump or a fall, there is a monster on the other side of the the market waiting to jump in. Gold up $14 now to $1607 after falling to a session low of $1585 thirty minutes ago.

Bernanke is taking questions now but his answers can’t be interpreted one way or the other.

Goldman cut its 2013 and 2014 gold forecasts earlier today. They see gold at $1600 in 2013 vs $1810 previously.

USD/CHF H4


Please click on the link here:
http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/10/15/usd-chf-h4/

Thank You,
Seb

Selasa, 15 Oktober 2013

Guest Article:Why the Markets Remain Hostage to the U.S. Government Shut-down?


Why the Markets Remain Hostage to the U.S. Government Shut

As the government shut-down enters its third week, its impact is already creating widespread uncertainty and concern among U.S. citizens. Economists are predicting that the influence of the shut-down is set to become even stronger in the coming weeks, however, as government funding continues to dwindle indefinitely.

So while the federal courts are currently still functioning and benefits payments are still being made, it is estimated that the existing resources will only allow this to continue for another 2 to 3 weeks. After this time, the U.S. will face defaulting on its budget deficit and entering a prolonged period of austerity.

The Government Shut-down and the Forex Market: The Ultimate Stalemate

As the Washington stalemate continues, the financial markets are also beginning to feel the effect. This is only to be expected, especially in volatile markets that remain susceptible to social, political and economic trends. Take the forex market, for example, which has already seen diminished trading volumes and a distinctly risk averse approach to investment since the shut-down began just 13 days ago. The latest development in the crisis only served to heighten the sense of dread and anxiety, as President Obama reportedly refused to deal directly with the Republicans in an attempt to resolve the stalemate at the end of next week.

While some may remember how the threat of the fiscal cliff failed to undermine the financial markets, it is important to note that the current circumstances are entirely different. To begin with, the majority of the nations' economists felt that it was extremely unlikely that the U.S. would be allowed to plunge into the oblivion, while those on Wall Street were already battle hardened in the wake of the Great Recession. We are already in the midst of a government shut-down in this instance, however, while the nation had recently experienced significant levels of growth and regeneration.

The Early Indicators and the Bottom Line for Forex Traders

So with the financial markets in the grip of an impending fiscal crisis and a resolution seemingly further away than ever, are there any immediate signs of danger on the foreign exchange? Well the U.S. Dollar (USD) has followed up weeks of constant price fluctuation by dropping sharply against the Japanese Yen (JPY) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD). The initial uncertainty surrounding the government shut-down also appeared to take its toll on trading volumes, with the forex market decidedly quiet as investors sought further news concerning negotiations between the White House and Democratic party members.

While austerity, uncertainty and speculation are common features of the contemporary forex market, traders are currently facing a unique set of fiscal circumstances. Gripped by the first government shut-down in more than 17 years and hindered by an increasingly fragile global economy, it is little wonder that they are looking to adopt a risk averse approach and consolidate their position until a resolution is released. With many following the latest news and breaking trends through online brokerage firms such as Alpari, the sense of anticipation on the market is set to reach a peak in the week ahead.

Adrew Scarre

                       

Senin, 14 Oktober 2013

Crude Oil Futures H4


Last wave (iii) green has been finished with Ending Diagonal Wave (v) and now crude oil is in corrective cycle. More whipsaws and choopy price action should be expected as the most probabble pattern for this wave is a triangle. Range is 104.33 - 101.05 and only a breakout above the golden descending trend line would put the count into question.



EUR/USD H4



EUR/USD H4 Analysys:

THE BEARS LAST CHANCE COUNT: if 1.3606 level ( top of wave 2 ) is broken, then alternative count is in play. This alternative count indicates another last high test and very possible breakout to the BLUE  LINE @ 1.3706. If this line is broken then whole bearish count is invalidated and next level to look for a meaningfull resistance for EUR/USD is 1.4500.

1.3706 IS LINE IN THE SAND FOR BEARS!!!