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Jumat, 20 Desember 2013

Gold XAUUSD H1, H4 & Daily

General Overview for 20/12/2013:
On Daily time frame traders can see two possible scenarios forming:
- SCENARIO 1 - Main Count - ABC corrective cycle wave 4 with wave C to the upside missing
- SCENARIO 2 - Alternate Count - Black alt:4 as a corrective ABC cycle is done and now price is developing Ending Diagonal termiantion pattern in wave alt:5. New low below 1179 is needed to complete this pattern.
Non Linear Regression model channel slope is pointig upward indicating more gains for Gold.

On H4 chart one can see that the overall progression in wave B is a Triple ZigZag formation and there is wave (b) and wave (c) missing to complete this cycle. Bias si to the downside for a little while.

H1 chart shows more detailed possibility of inside wave developing structure in complex wave (b) formation. Target  level here would be $1222 before downtrend resumes.

Support/Resistance:
1179 - Swing Low
1192 - WS1
1207 - 1210 - Techncial Resistance
1213 - WS1

Trading Recommendations:
For intraday scalpers: long positions should be in play  from 1200 level with SL below the 1189 and potential target TP1 @ 107 and TP2 @ 1210 and above.
For swing traders: wait for correction to complete and go short again for last push to the downside.

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Rabu, 18 Desember 2013

EUR/GBP H4

General Overview for 18/12/2013
Impulsive rally with has been finished withtermination patter of Ending Diagonal at the end.Currently pair is in corrective cycle that looks like a ZigZag. First leg is sone (a purple), now leg b purple is missing and then final push to the downside. Targets on chart.

Support/Resistance:
0.8500 - WR2
0.8470 - WR1
0.8456 - 61%Fibo
0.8409 - Weekly Pivot
0.8381 - WS1
0.8346 - Technical Support
0.8319 - WS2

Trading Recommendations:
Sell the rallys up to the level of 0.8418.


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Spread between the Buying and Selling Price

Correlation between currency pairs, price developments and indicators are thought a trader has to give consideration to.

Another consideration in trading currencies is the spread between the buying price and the selling price.

Purpose of this post
The purpose is to give some examples and a general idea of currency pairs with different spreads.

The content is only illustrative.

What is a spread between the buying and selling price
A spread is the pips between the price the currency pairs are brought at and the price they are sold at.

Why look at the spread
The wider the spread is the longer it will take to get profit.

Currency pairs with different spreads
Examples of different currency pairs with different spreads; the prices and the spreads are from the 18 of December 2013 from one of the trading platforms; the spreads could vary from other trading platforms.

Currency pairs with a 2 pips spread
 EUR/USD
1,3741
1,3743
AUD/USD
0,8904
0,8906
USD/JYP
103,06
103,08

Currency pairs with a 3 pips spread
EUR/JYP
141,60
141,63
NZD/USD
0,8246
0,8249

Currency pairs with a 4 pips spread
EUR/CHF
1,2205
1,2209
EUR/AUD
1,5430
1,5434
USD/CHF
0,8880
0,8884
GBP/USD
1,6376
1,6380

Currency pairs with a 5 pips spread
USD/CAD
1,0642
1,0647



GBP/USD H4


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USD/CHF H4


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USD/JPY H1


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EUR/USD H4


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Selasa, 17 Desember 2013

Trading Gold

The posts on this blog have been about trading currency pairs; in this post is the content about commodities. The commodity is gold.

Gold
Gold is a commodity and the most of it comes from India and is used in jewelry and industries.

Impact on the price of gold
Industries
The demand and supply of these industries have an impact on the pricing.

Big events
Big events as the Indian wedding seasons (from September to December) have also impact on the price.

The dollar, inflation and interest rate
The price of gold is valued in dollars which makes the price of the dollar an element in the pricing. As currencies are influenced by the inflation rate and the interest rate are they also factors that influence the price of gold.   

The inflation is measured by the consumer price index (CPI); if the inflation starts to rise the impact of the gold price is negative which means that the price will fall on gold.

Before starting to hedge gold and inflation it would be a good idea to know the inflation rate around the world as the inflation's impact on the gold is not equivalent cause to the calculation of the inflation rate.

The price of gold
The price of gold in 2013 has been bearish; as it is decreased from 1.780 dollars in October 2012 to 1.230 inDecember 2013.


In the short run gold has been bullish and bearish.


How to buy gold
Gold can be brought on an online CFD trading platform; gold is placed under the section commodities.

More about how to trade on an online trading platform is illustrated in the video on my website.  

Guest Article: Mentoring in Forex



Mentoring in Forex
Like everything else in life, venturing into a new trade requires learning different skills.
It’s not always easy to learn new investment skills. Many experienced stock traders who have been actively involved in NASDAQ for years are now moving over to Forex trading which seems to be offering far profitable trades with far less effort. They often need to learn new techniques
What they soon realize is that Forex Trading is not as easy as it seems at first. There really is more to know about currency trading than one thinks at first. That is why it is highly recommended that all traders, even those that have been trading other financial instruments for years, should educate themselves in Forex before opening a Forex account.
Newbie traders should make every effort to learn all about Forex markets by taking a good educational tutorial. Most brokers offer this type of instruction to all their account holders and this is an excellent way to learn the basics. If you want to move ahead and learn more advanced techniques, you might want to take a course provided by an independent Forex service that is not linked to any particular broker such as FXAcademy.
Fundamentals
The fundamentals of Forex trading don’t differ much from other conventional trading and the concepts used are similar. It is important to know all the ins and outs of trading so you can place profitable trades. Knowing the history of currency trading is also advisable as it gives you a good background to how currencies have evolved.
Start your trading experience with a demo account. This account gives you the opportunity to practice your trades for a specific period of time with virtual money provided by your broker. By using a demo account you can learn about Forex trading without putting any money at risk. Most brokers offer a demo account so with the vast choice of brokers available these days, make sure you choose one that is proud to offer it.
Here is where a good mentor can be of help. Mentors can help you select the right broker and the account that is best suited to you. An objective mentor can sift through the plethora of brokers and compare their features before advising you which broker to select.
When you feel confident that you know enough to discuss Forex intelligently, your mentor can now help you move to the next step in trading. One of the main mistakes made by most traders is jumping into the market too quickly, before knowing enough to make the right decisions. Knowing when to enter and exit a trade can make the difference between profit and loss.
 One way to hone your skills in Forex trading is to understand both technical and fundamental analysis. A good mentor will be able to show you how to read charts and interpret graphs that indicate price movements. Many successful Forex traders use these tools primarily in order to place profitable trades.
Interpreting charts and graphs is not an easy undertaking and a personal tutor can be very helpful at this point. He will also teach you how to develop your own trading system which you should follow throughout your trading experience. Once you have set a strategic plan in action, you must have the discipline to follow it no matter what happens in the market. Despite seeing success at the start, most traders incur more losses than wins. Statistics show that new traders lose their money 95% of the time. If you manage to have some trades that move in the direction you chose, take your profit, no matter how small, and reinvest it in a new trade. Many small profits are better than no profits at all and certainly preferable to losses.
Working together with your mentor, you should be able to come out with some successful Forex trades. 

Alex P.

SP500 H4

General Overview for 17/12/2013:
The simple corrective cycle of (a)(b)(c) Irregular Flat wave 4 has been terminated into 161%Fibo Ext @ 1754 points and impulsive wave progression to the upside has been initiated. Wave (i) of this progression has been done and now price is in corrective cycle. More upside is in view as long as 1754 is not broken. First target is 1824 WR2 level.



Support/Resistance:
1824 - WR2
1812 - Swing High
1791 - WR1
1786 - Intraday Resistance
1778 - Weekly Pivot
1754 - Intraday Low | Invalidation Line |
1745 - WS1
1722 - WS2
1726 - 1735 - SUPPLY BREAKTHROUGH ZONE

Trading Recommendations:
As long as 1754 holds long positions should be in play with 1824 as a first target.

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GBP/JPY H4


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Thanks,
Seb
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As You might have noticed I'm taking a part in "Analyst of the year" contest organised by InstaForex  broker MT5.com portal.
AND
If You like my analysis or You trade it, or You have learnt something new this is my plea to ALL OF YOU: Please vote for me EVERYDAY!

It is free, simple and easy to vote for me EVERYDAY!

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Crude Oil H4


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Seb
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As You might have noticed I'm taking a part in "Analyst of the year" contest organised by InstaForex  broker MT5.com portal.
AND
If You like my analysis or You trade it, or You have learnt something new this is my plea to ALL OF YOU: Please vote for me EVERYDAY!

It is free, simple and easy to vote for me EVERYDAY!

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GBP/USD H1


Please click on the link:

Thanks,
Seb
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As You might have noticed I'm taking a part in "Analyst of the year" contest organised by InstaForex  broker MT5.com portal.
AND
If You like my analysis or You trade it, or You have learnt something new this is my plea to ALL OF YOU: Please vote for me EVERYDAY!

It is free, simple and easy to vote for me EVERYDAY!

This is what You have to do in four easy steps:
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