SP500 H4

General Overview for 17/12/2013:

The simple corrective cycle of (a)(b)(c) Irregular Flat wave 4 has been terminated into 161%Fibo Ext @ 1754 points and impulsive wave progression to the upside has been initiated. Wave (i) of this progression has been done and now price is in corrective cycle. More upside is in view as long as 1754 is not broken. First target is 1824 WR2 level.

Support/Resistance:

1824 - WR2

1812 - Swing High

1791 - WR1

1786 - Intraday Resistance

1778 - Weekly Pivot

1754 - Intraday Low | Invalidation Line |

1745 - WS1

1722 - WS2

1726 - 1735 - SUPPLY BREAKTHROUGH ZONE

Trading Recommendations:

As long as 1754 holds long positions should be in play with 1824 as a first target.

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Crude Oil H4

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SP500 Futures H4 & Daily

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Gold XAUUSD H4

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Nikkei 225 Futures Daily

General Overviev for 08/12/2013
The anticipated Triangle formation breakout has been developing properly and now the fianl attack to new highs should be in play. The target area for main count is 16110 - 16337. If this highs are broken then the alternate count is in play and this one us slightly more bullish than the main one. It projects the Target Zone for wave 5 @ 16782 - 17154 (quite wilde).
Price has bounced from main channel upper line and as long as it stays within acceleration channel more high are in view.

Support/Resistance:
16782 - 17154 - Alternate Target Zone Projection
16110 - 16337 - Main Target Zone Projection
15936 - Swing High
14957 - Technical Support

Trading Recommendations:
As long as technical support zone holds buying the dips shoud be in play. Target zone on chart.

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Gold H4 & Daily

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Yen Futures Index Daily

 General Overview for 04/12/2013:
The price is getting close to for a Dobule Bottom formation on daily chart and the golden trend line holds the price rallys. Any breakout is potentially bullish BUT confirmation comes only if green line is broken.
From EWP perspective it looks like there was a Triangle formation marked in thick green lines and now this could be last wave 5 to the downside. Breakout above the Monthly Pivot @ 0.9916 is secondary confirmation.

Support/Resistance:
0.9588 - MS1
0.9637 - Swing Low
0.9881 - Grenn Line Resistance
0.9916 - Monthly Pivot
1.0087 - MR1.

Trading Recommendations:
Buy the double botom scenario means: sell EUR/JPY, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, CAD/JPY, AUD/JPY.

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Gold XAUUSD H4

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Crude Oil H4

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Nifty 50 Futures H4

General Overview for 25/11/2013:
The correction has not been finished just yet and there is more downside possible up to 5880 level. From that level the price should bounce back up and trend should resume.

Support/Resistance:
6386 - WR2
6216 - WR1
6086 - Weekly Pivot
5957 - WS1
5880 - Target for wave (ii)
5845 - WS2

Trading Recommendations:
Buy the 5880 level with tight SL.

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Gold XAUUSD H1,H4,D1 and Weekly Update

General Overview foe 21/11/2013:

This video analysis expains my point of view:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PsP2554hJMY

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Nifty 50 Futures H4

General Overview for 18/11/2013 18:15 CET
The anticipated wave c purple to the downside has hit the level of 23.6%Fibo and even slipped a little bit lower before nice bounce.
Currently, the situation is not clear enough to confirm the  wave (ii) green is done and wave (iii)  green is in progress BUT the bounce looks quite impulsive on lower time frames so far. Nevertheless, it can only a wave A green of a more complex corrective wave.
Any price below 5748 points will invalidate the immediate bullish wave count.

Support/Resistance:
6367 - Swing High
6315 - WR2
6266 - WR1
6134 - Weekly Pivot
6068 - WS1
6003 - Technical Support
5957 - WS2
5909 - WS3

Trading Recommendations:

Price is in the middle of the range now and it would be wise to wait and see what market will do @ 6266 level:
-  If it is broken, then a possible test of a last swiong high is in view.
-  If it is not broken, then the whole upside wave might be wave B green and more downside wave development might happen

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Video Analysis: Gold and SP500

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yPeUcyaM7Lc

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Sebastian Seliga

Gold XAUUSD H4 & Daily

General Overview for 15/11/2013:

On Daily chart the TARGET area for wave Y of larger time frime cycle has not been finished yet and  the break out above wave (i) high will confirm more upside wave progression on this time frame. The Non Linear Regression model slope  is pointing upward and price should stay inside the channel.

On H4 time frame: As long as there is no new low the deep ZigZag correction might beacknowledged as finished and now more impulsive price action to the upside should be seen. The first clue is blue channel breakout if the red trendline will hold. Please notice that there is a probability that the price will test the low once again as the correction might be deep here.

Support/Resistance:
1260 - 1265 - DEMAND ZONE
1265 - WS1
1293 - Intraday Resistance
1295 - Weekly Pivot
1310 - WR1
1322 - 1327 - Demand Breakthrough Zone
1341 - WR2
1355 - WR3

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SP500 Futures H4 & Daily

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Crude Oil H4

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Nifty H4 & Daily

General Overview for 07/11/2013 

Bullish wave progression is so far intact and more upside is anticipated after wave (ii) green corrective cycle is done.
Targets are on the chart.
Please notice that a breakout to the downside below Key Level of 6067 is much more bearish and it might result with GAP zone test before trend will eventually resume.

Support/Resistance:

6487 - WR1
6367 - Wave (i) High
6282 - Weekly Pivot
6232 - Technical Support
6195 - WS1
6067 - 23%Fibo | Key Level |
5993 - WS2
5909 - WS3

Trading Recomendations:

Sell the top test @ 6367 with TIGH STOP LOSS for a potential TP @ 6067.

Take care,
Seb

Crude Oil H4 & Daily

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http://blog.mt5.com/elliottfxtrader/2013/11/06/crude-oil-h4-amp-d1/

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SP500 Futures H4

General Overview for 04/11/2013:
Small Head & Shoulders Patter on this index and quite impulsive  sell off from 1772 level might be firse clue for a potential trend reversal. This is the last chance scenario for a ENDING DIAGONAL WAVE 5 to materialize and first clue will be a break out to the downside below the golden trend line.
This kind of price progression that goes ABOVE the ending diagonal line is called OVERTHROW and it is quite common for diagonals. If there is no sell off below the golden trend line, then the probabillity of Ending Diagonal is will be lower and price might make another hight to complete five waves from 1640 low.

Support/Resistance:
1783 - WR2
1771 - Swing High
1766 - WR1
1756 - Weekly Pivot
1750 - Golden Trend Line Support
1740 - WS1
1730 -1726 - WS2 | SUPPLY BREAKTHROUGH ZONE |

Gold XAUUSD H4 & Daily

General Overview for 29/10/2013 11:00 CET
I have a little re-labeled the count showing now fully developed wave iii black.
Current situation looks like one of two scenarios:
SCENARIO 1: Main Count - Wave iv is done and wave v is done as well ( Ending Diagonal). Wave (i) is down in full five swings to the upside so now it is correction time in shape of a ZigZag (???). Key Level is $1309 - 1300 zone. Price should finish the correction there and resume the uptrend.
SCENARIO 2: Alternate Count - Wave iv is not done and the whole up move in last days was a choppy wave alt:b. Next anticipated wave progression would be waves c,d,e for a Triangle wave iv to complete. The Key Level for this scenario is $1327 as a wave 4 support.

Support/Resistance:
1420 - WR3
1388 - WR2
1374 - WR1 | SUPPLY ZONE |
1363 - 61%Fibo
1341 - Weekly Pivot
1328 - WS1
1327 - Technical Support | Previous Wave iv area |
1309 - Key Level
1296 - WS2
1283 - WS3

Trading Recommedations:
 For a longer term swing trade buying the 1327 - 1309 zone with SL just below 1300 is recomended.
Target is  1487 - 1506 zone.